Tiny Bubbles

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More Movers and Shakers:

Florida State: Conventional wisdom would be to drop the Seminoles right into the field of 65 after their win against Duke. After all, doesn’t beating the #1 team in the nation deserve the reward of an at-large bid? Not yet! Florida State still needs to win at least two more games to safely slide into the NCAA Tournament. Should the Seminoles lose this weekend at Miami, they would destroy the good feeling earned after their win against the Blue Devils. FSU needs to win their last game (at Miami) and probably win at least one game in the ACC Tournament to feel safe about inclusion in this year's Big Dance.

Indiana: The Hoosiers are one more win away from a spot in the NCAA Tournament. Given their success against the top 25 RPI and what is now assured to be at least an 8-8 record in the #1 RPI conference, Indiana just needs to win either at Michigan this weekend or win their first game in the Big Tournament. Lose both games and Indiana will hard-pressed to feel secure in an at-large bid.

Vanderbilt: The Commodores are 16-10, 7-8 SEC, and still scratching and clawing their way to an at-large bid. Vanderbilt owns two wins over Kentucky and a win at Georgetown. Unfortunately, that is about all Vanderbilt has in its favor for now. The Commodores need at least three more wins to erase the negative stigma from a midseason four game losing streak and lackluster play in this year's SEC. Vanderbilt must defeat reeling Tennessee this weekend and then make it to the SEC semifinals to have even an outside shot at an at-large bid.

Texas A&M: The Aggies were one of the key winners from Wednesday night's games. Texas A&M extended their winning streak to six games and are only two wins away from an at-large berth. Texas A&M needs to win at Texas Tech to end the season and then win their opener in the Big 12 Tournament. Amusingly, the Aggies might just be playing fellow Big 12 bubble boy Colorado for the right to grab the fourth at-large bid from the Big 12. Should the Aggies lose their next two games, they would likely be on the cold outside looking in this season.

Kentucky: The Wildcats got the marquee win they needed, defeating suddenly cold Tennessee. Kentucky earned a solid road win in Knoxville and is now in solid position to make the NCAA Tournament. The Wildcats can finish no worse than 8-8 in the SEC and even a first round loss in the SEC Tournament should not cost Kentucky an at-large bid.

Alabama: The Tide defeated a weak Mississippi for their 10th SEC win. The Tide are in the field of 65, even if they lose their last two games.

Arkansas: The Razorbacks won their 20th game, ninth in the SEC, guaranteeing them a winning conference record. Arkansas has done more than enough with their recent marquee wins and a solid four game-winning streak. A loss at Georgia ad in the first round of the SEC Tournament would be bad, but even losses in both games would not be likely to drop the Razorbacks from an at-large bid.

Colorado: The Buffaloes do not just lose.... they lose in STYLE. Colorado continued to underimpress the selection committee with another poor road loss at Kansas. The Buffaloes still have a chance to finish above .500 in the Big 12 with a win at home against Iowa State this weekend. Unfortunately, even finishing above .500 is not sufficient for the Buffaloes to feel safe about an at-large bid. Colorado finished 10-6 in the Big 12 in 2004 and a first round loss in the Big 12 Tournament that season doomed the Buffaloes to the NIT. Colorado needs to win their season finale and win at least one game in the Big 12 Tournament to move them on the right side of the bubble.

Maryland: Many a Maryland fan still hold out distant hope that their Terrapins can make the NCAA Tournament. Maryland needs to win at Virginia and win at least three games in the ACC Tournament. Anything less than that and Maryland will likely be playing in their second straight NIT.

Cincinnati: The Bearcats have a MUST WIN game this weekend against West Virginia. Cincinnati has to win this game to finish .500 in the Big East. Given their decent slate of marquee wins and their solid strength of schedule, a .500 record in the Big East and their 18th win might just be enough to push them over the top. An extra win in the Big East Tournament would add the resume of the Bearcats. This is one team that will be sweating it out on Selection Sunday.

Seton Hall: The Pirates righted their ship with a home win against their Big East and bubble brethren Cincinnati. Seton Hall now needs to win their season finale at Pitt to solidify an at-large bid. Should the Pirates win that game, they would lock up the eighth bid from the Big East and put themselves in tight with the election committee.

We will have our updated conference tournament brackets and projections posted later this evening.