Sunday, March 12, 2006

Comparisons to other Brackets

Here is where we like to see how we stacked up to the other bracketologists and how well our selections did against a varying selection of selections:

Bubbleteams:

Number of teams selected correctly: 62/65 Correct
Teams Missed: Air Force, Seton Hall, Utah State
Teams projected that missed: Missouri State, Hofstra, Cincinnati
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 28/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 51/65

Bracketology 101:

Number of teams selected correctly: 62/65 Correct
Teams Missed: Air Force, George Mason, Utah State
Teams projected that missed: Missouri State, Hofstra, Cincinnati
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 31/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 50/65

Joe Lunardi at ESPN Bracketology:

Number of teams selected correctly: 63/65 correct
Teams Missed: Air Force, Utah State
Teams projected that missed: Florida State, Cincinnati
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 30/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 49/65

Bracketography:

Number of teams selected correctly: 62/65 correct
Teams Missed: Air Force, Utah State, George Mason
Teams projected that missed: Missouri State, Cincinnati, Michigan
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 30/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 47/65

Bracket Board:

Number of teams selected correctly: 62/65 correct
Teams Missed: Air Force, Utah State, George Mason
Teams projected that missed: Missouri State, Cincinnati, Hofstra
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 27/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 49/65

NCAA Hoops Digest:

Number of teams selected correctly: 63/65 correct
Teams Missed: Air Force, Utah State
Teams projected that missed: Missouri State, Cincinnati
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 29/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 49/65

JCI Rankings:

Number of teams selected correctly: 59/65 correct
Teams Missed: Air Force, Utah State, Alabama, George Mason, Arizona, UAB, California
Teams projected that missed: Missouri State, Cincinnati, Florida State, Michigan, Hofstra, Maryland
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 24/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 41/65

Gregg Doyel at CSB Sportsline:

Number of teams selected correctly: 63/65 correct
Teams Missed: Air Force, Utah State
Teams projected that missed: Hofstra, Cincinnati
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 28/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 48/65

Jerry Palm at collegerpi.com:

Number of teams selected correctly: 62/65 correct
Teams Missed: Air Force, Utah State, George Mason
Teams projected that missed: Missouri State, Cincinnati, Creighton
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 23/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 45/65

Coop's Bracketmatology (Bracket Racket):

Number of teams selected correctly: 63/65 correct
Teams Missed: Air Force, Utah State
Teams projected that missed: Missouri State, Cincinnati
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 29/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 51/65


Bracket Project:

Number of teams selected correctly: 62/65 correct
Teams Missed: Air Force, Utah State, George Mason
Teams projected that missed: Missouri State, Cincinnati, Hofstra
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 29/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 49/65

College Hoops Net March Madness:

Number of teams selected correctly: 62/65 correct
Teams Missed: Air Force, Utah State, George Mason
Teams projected that missed: Missouri State, Cincinnati, Hofstra
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 31/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 50/65

Bracket Predictions:

Number of teams selected correctly: 62/65 correct
Teams Missed: Air Force, Utah State, Seton Hall
Teams projected that missed: Missouri State, Cincinnati, Michigan
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 29/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 45/65

Schmolik 64:

Number of teams selected correctly: 62/65 correct
Teams Missed: Air Force, Utah State, Seton Hall
Teams projected that missed: Missouri State, Creighton, Hofstra
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 29/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 49/65

Michael Lazarus at Foxsports:

Number of teams selected correctly: 62/65 correct
Teams Missed: Air Force, Utah State, George Mason
Teams projected that missed: Missouri State, Cincinnati, Hofstra
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 28/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 51/65

Howard Salswasser:

Number of teams selected correctly: 62/65 correct
Teams Missed: Air Force, Utah State, George Mason
Teams projected that missed: Missouri State, Cincinnati, Michigan
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 23/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 42/65

Drew Barnette at Draft Express:

Number of teams selected correctly: 62/65 correct
Teams Missed: Air Force, Utah State, George Mason
Teams projected that missed: Missouri State, Cincinnati, Hofstra
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 23/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 45/65

Federal Review:

Number of teams selected correctly: 61/65 correct
Teams Missed: Indiana, Alabama, California, Seton Hall
Teams projected that missed: Missouri State, Hofstra, St. Joseph's, Florida State
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 13/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 34/65

Warren Nolan's:

Number of teams selected correctly: 63/65 correct
Teams Missed: Air Force, Utah State
Teams projected that missed: Missouri State, Cincinnati
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 30/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 48/65

MAG NCAA Projections:

Number of teams selected correctly: 62/65 correct
Teams Missed: Air Force, Utah State, George Mason
Teams projected that missed: Missouri State, Cincinnati, Michigan
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 31/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 49/65

MRI Sports:

Number of teams selected correctly: 57/65 correct
Teams Missed: Air Force, Utah State, WVU, California, Marquette, Alabama, Seton Hall, Indiana
Teams projected that missed: Missouri State, Cincinnati, Clemson, Colorado, Maryland, Michigan, Florida State, Western Kentucky
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 13/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 35/65

USA Today's Malcolm Moran:

Number of teams selected correctly: 61/65 correct
Teams Missed: Air Force, Utah State, George Mason, Seton Hall
Teams projected that missed: Missouri State, Hofstra, Michigan, Florida State
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 25/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 43/65

CNN/SI Stewart Mandel:

Number of teams selected correctly: 62/65 correct
Teams Missed: Air Force, Utah State, George Mason
Teams projected that missed: Missouri State, Cincinnati, Creighton
Numbers of teams seeded correctly: 23/65
Number of teams seeded within one line of true seed: 48/65

Overall we feel we did poorly this year. Despite what many peiple perceive as an odd and unusual bracket by the NCAA Selection Committee, we still strive to do better. We can take solace in being the best (along with Michael Lazarus of Fox Sports and Coop at Bracketamology) at projecting the bracket within one correct seed. That is still not up to our standards and we know we can do better.

Check back during the week for updates, brackets and projections for both the NCAA Tournament and the NIT Tournament (I can already assure you we will be taking Tuesday night off to visit Penn State for an NIT game).

Enjoy the tournament and good luck.

Reflections on the bracket

As the brackets were announced we should have had a clue that things were going to be unusual. Things we noticed immediately were:

California a 7 seed ?
George Washington an 8 seed ?

We know the Colonials did not play a very good schedule this season, but what a snub !!!

As the bracket progressed...

Pitt a 5 seed ? .... seems the Panthers are getting snubbed with low seeds year after year.

San Diego State an 11 seed (we should have seen what was about to come from this one)

Then came the Washington DC region.

We were surprised when Utah State was announced, but we were SHOCKED when we saw Air Force come up !!!!!!

..... and then to see Tennessee as a 2 seed ??

perhaps a few weeks ago, but what have the Volunteers done lately ?? I guess losing three out of your last four (and four out of your last six) doesn't make a difference.

The final region was not a huge surprise, except for Nevada as a 5 seed. We thought we were a bit high with the Wolf Pack as a 6 seed, but as a 5 ??? Seems high.

We can not argue much with the three teams we selected and were left out.
We missed on Cincinnati, Missouri State and Hofstra. We half expected to miss on Hofstra (and include Seton Hall), but to include Utah State and Air Force ??

This is by far the most surprising bracket we have seen in the last 15 years.

Reflections: We only got 62/65 right. We can do much better and next year we will do much better. Despite missing three teams, we still had 30 teams seeded exactly right and we had 57/65 seeded within one line of their true seed.

We missed on the three teams we put in and were excluded
We missed by 2 spots on Pitt
We missed by three spots on California, Tennessee, George Washington and Montana (a 12)?

We are left scratching our heads at some of the selections and some of the seedings, but we can only move forward from here.

We will evaluate the brackets; look at the matchups in the NCAA Tournament and post projections and predictions in the next few days leading up to the first day of the NCAA Tournament.

NCAA Tournament Final Bracket 3/12/06

Here is our final bracket for the 2006 NCAA Tournament.

We fluctuated back and forth over whether to include Seton Hall in the bracket or not. In the end, we decided that despite the numerous good wins the Pirates had, their bad losses combined with losing four of their last six games doomed Seton Hall to the NIT. Hofstra was our last team in and Seton Hall was our last team out. We hope everyone has enjoyed the past few weeks of projecting the NCAA Tournament field. We look forward to the next few weeks and as the NCAA Tournament heats up, we will have projections and predictions on the field and the bracket and we will post the entire NCAA Tournament bracket and offer up-to-the-minute updates on every NCAA (and NIT) Tournament game.

Enjoy the MADNESS everyone !

Teams in BOLD italics have qualified as an automatic bid.

Atlanta Region:

Greensboro

1-Duke
16-Southern

8-Kentucky
9-Northern Iowa

Auburn Hills

5-Syracuse
12-Bradley

4-Illinois
13-San Diego State

Jacksonville

6-Michigan State
11-George Mason

3-Florida
14-Northwestern State

Salt Lake City

7-Nevada
10-Cincinnati

2-Gonzaga
15-Montana

Washington Region:

Philadelphia

1-Connecticut
16-Hampton/Monmouth

8-Wichita State
9-Arizona

San Diego

5-Tennessee
12-Hofstra

4-Iowa
13-Iona

Salt Lake City

6-Georgetown
11-Missouri State

3-Boston College
14-Pacific

Dallas

7-Indiana
10-California

2-Texas
15-Winthrop

Minneapolis Region

Philadelphia

1-Villanova
16-Albany

8-North Carolina State
9-UAB

Jacksonville

5-George Washington
12-Wisconsin-Milwaukee

4-LSU
13-South Alabama

Greensboro

6-Oklahoma
11-UNC Wilmington

3-North Carolina
14-Murray State

San Diego

7-Marquette
10-Southern Illinois

2-UCLA
15-Oral Roberts

Oakland Region

Dallas

1-Memphis
16-Belmont

8-Wisconsin
9-Alabama

Auburn Hills

5-West Virginia
12-Kent State

4-Kansas
13-Xavier

Dayton

6-Wasington
11-Bucknell

3-Pitt
14-Penn

Dayton

7-Arkansas
10-Texas A&M

2-Ohio State
15-Davidson

Bubble Wrap 3/12/06

The only game of bubble significance is the SEC Championship between Florida and South Carolina. Should the Gamecocks win, one more bubble team would lose their spot.

South Carolina: The Florida Gators do EVERY bubble team a great service by knocking off South Carolina and pushing the Cocks to the NIT. If South Carolina had won, they would have taken a spot from a team already on the bubble and likely considered to be "in".

Florida: The Gators survive a late comeback bid from the Gamecocks. Joakim Noah scored the game-winning basket for Florida South Carolina tied the game with just under a minute remaining. This is the second straight SEC Tournament title for Florida and head coach Billy Donovan.

Duke: The Blue Devils defeat Boston College by two points and put an exclamation mark on their regular season ACC championship with yet another ACC Tournament championship. This marks the seventh ACC Tournament title for Duke in the past 8 years.

Northwestern State: The Demons fight off two Sam Houston State comebacks and hold on to defeat the Bearkats and claim the Southland Championship. Northwestern State erases the bad memories of a loss in last season's tournament final to Southeastern Louisiana.

Kansas: The Jayhawks proved themselves to the nation with a Big 12 Tournament title to go along with their share of the Big 12 regular season title. The Jayhawks came from behind in the second half to overtake the Longhorns and deny Texas their first Big 12 Tournament title.

Iowa: The Hawkeyes used a stifling defense to hold Ohio State to just three points in the final 7:15 in the second half en route to winning their second Big Ten Tournament title.

NCAA Tournament Bracket Update 3/12/06

Here is our latest bracket update. We will post a final update just before the NCAA Selection show.

Teams in BOLD italics have qualified as an automatic bid.

The list of qualified bubble teams that have been omitted from this year's bracket is a short one-Seton Hall, Michigan, Air Force, Maryland, Utah State, Creighton, Wetsern Kentucky. The only teams that we are vexed on is the Seton Hall Pirates. We had them as our last team out and before the day's end, we might put them back in. In studying the bracket, we are finding more teams that deserve to be left out than teams that should be out in. We are uncertain about Hofstra/George Mason and whether 5 teams get in from the Missouri Valley. We are also unimpressed with North Carolina State, Wisconsin, Alabama, Northern Iowa and Arizona. Traditionally the NCAA Selection Committee has been reticent to include teams that have finished poorly, like these teams. Unfortunately, this years seems to have very few teams with which to replace any of these teams that are slumping. We are confident that we have all 65 teams correct, but if we do miss on any one team, we feel it might be Seton Hall. Regardless, we stand by our brackets and look forward to when the selection deadline.

Atlanta Region:

Greensboro

1-Duke
16-Southern

8-Wisconsin
9-Alabama

Auburn Hills

5-Syracuse
12-Wisconsin-Milwaukee

4-Kansas
13-South Alabama

Jacksonville

6-George Washington
11-Missouri State

3-Florida
14-Pacific

San Diego

7-Indiana
10-Cincinnati

2-UCLA
15-Winthrop

Washington Region

Philadephia

1-Connecticut
16-Hampton/Monmouth

8-Arkansas
9-UAB

San Diego

5-Washington
12-Kent State

4-Iowa
13-Iona

Jacksonville

6-Michigan State
11-George Mason

3-LSU
14-Northwestern State

Dallas

7-Marquette
10-Northern Iowa

2-Texas
15-Oral Roberts

Minneapolis Region

Philadelphia

1-Villanova
16-Albany

8-North Carolina State
9-Texas A&M

Auburn Hills

5-Tennessee
12-Bradley

4-Illinois
13-Xavier

Salt Lake City

6-Georgetown
11-UNC Wilmington

3-Gonzaga
14-Montana

Greensboro

7-Wichita State
10-California

2-North Carolina
15-Davidson

Oakland Region

Dallas

1-Memphis
16-Belmont

8-Kentucky
9-Arizona

Salt Lake City

5-West Virginia
12-Hofstra

4-Boston College
13-San Diego State

Dayton

6-Oklahoma
11-Bucknell

3-Pitt
14-Murray State

Dayton

7-Nevada
10-Southern Illinois

2-Ohio State
15-Penn

Conference Tournament Updates 3/12/06

Eleven automatic bids are up for grabs today.

We will continue to offer real-time updates and tournament results. This is the one and ONLY site that updates tournament brackets with scores and results as they happen.

ACC:

Duke wins their second straight ACC Tournament title with a narrow victory against Boston College.

At Greensboro Coliseum
Greensboro, N.C.

FIRST ROUND

Thursday, March 9
Game 1: No. 8 Miami 66, No. 9 Clemson 63
Game 2: No. 12 Wake Forest 78, No. 5 Florida State 66
Game 3: No. 7 Virginia 60, No. 10 Virginia Tech 56
Game 4: No. 6 Maryland 82, No. 11 Georgia Tech 64

QUARTERFINALS

Friday, March 10
Game 5: No. 1 Duke 80, No. 8 Miami 76
Game 6: No. 12 Wake Forest 82, No. 4 N.C. State 71
Game 7: No. 2 North Carolina 79, No. 7 Virginia 67
Game 8: No. 3 Boston College 80, No. 6 Maryland 66

SEMIFINALS

Saturday, March 11
Game 9: No. 1 Duke 78, No. 12 Wake Forest 66
Game 10: No. 3 Boston College 85, No. 2 North Carolina 82

CHAMPIONSHIP

Sunday, March 12
Game 11: No. 1 Duke 78, No. 3 Boston College 76

Big Ten:

Iowa records their second victory against Ohio State and captures their second Big Ten Tournament championship.

At Conseco Fieldhouse
Indianapolis

FIRST ROUND

Thursday, March 9
Game 1: No. 8 Penn State 60, No. 9 Northwestern 42
Game 2: No. 10 Minnesota 59, No. 7 Michigan 55
Game 3: No. 6 Michigan State 70, No. 11 Purdue 58

QUARTERFINALS

Friday, March 10
Game 4: No. 1 Ohio State 63, No. 8 Penn State 56
Game 5: No. 5 Indiana 61, No. 4 Wisconsin 56
Game 6: No. 2 Iowa 67, No. 10 Minnesota 57
Game 7: No. 6 Michigan State 61, No. 3 Illinois 56

SEMIFINALS

Saturday, March 11
Game 8: No. 2 Iowa 53, No. 6 Michigan State 48
Game 9: No. 1 Ohio State 52, No. 5 Indiana 51

CHAMPIONSHIP

Sunday, March 12
Game 10: No. 2 Iowa 67, No. 1 Ohio State 60

Big 12:

Kansas overtakes Texas in the second half and holds on to defeat the Longhorns and win the Big 12 Tournament.

At American Airlines Center
Dallas

FIRST ROUND

Thursday, March 9
Game 1: No. 8 Texas Tech 73, No. 9 Kansas State, 65
Game 2: No. 5 Colorado 65, No. 12 Baylor 61
Game 3: No. 7 Oklahoma State 79, No. 10 Iowa State 70
Game 4: No. 6 Nebraska 71, No. 11 Missouri 64

QUARTERFINALS

Friday, March 10
Game 5: No. 1 Texas 77, No. 8 Texas Tech 70
Game 6: No. 4 Texas A&M 86, No. 5 Colorado 53
Game 7: No. 2 Kansas 63, No. 7 Oklahoma State 62
Game 8: No. 6 Nebraska 69, No. 3 Oklahoma 61

SEMIFINALS

Saturday, March 11
Game 9: No. 1 Texas 74, No. 4 Texas A&M 70
Game 10: No. 2 Kansas 79, No. 6 Nebraska 65

CHAMPIONSHIP

Sunday, March 12
Game 11: No. 2 Kansas 80, No. 1 Texas 68

SEC:

Florida saves every bubble team from a few more hours of angst with a narrow two-point win over South Carolina for the SEC Tournament title.

At The Gaylord Entertainment Center
Nashville, Tenn.

FIRST ROUND

Thursday, March 9
Game 1: E5 South Carolina 59 W4 Mississippi State 44
Game 2: E3 Kentucky 71, W6 Ole Miss 57
Game 3: E4 Vanderbilt 76, W5 Auburn 71
Game 4: W3 Arkansas 80, E6 Georgia 67

QUARTERFINALS

Friday, March 10
Game 5: E5 South Carolina 79, E1 Tennessee 71
Game 6: E3 Kentucky 68, W2 Alabama 61
Game 7: W1 LSU 92, E4 Vanderbilt 73
Game 8: E2 Florida 74, W3 Arkansas 71

SEMIFINALS

Saturday, March 11
Game 9: E5 South Carolina 65, E3 Kentucky 61
Game 10: E2 Florida 81, W1 LSU 65

CHAMPIONSHIP

Sunday, March 12
Game 11: E2 Florida 49, E5 South Carolina 47

Southland:

Northwestern State holds on to defeat Sam Houston State and erase the memory of last season's loss in the title game on their home court.

At higher seeds

FIRST ROUND

Tuesday, March 7
Game 1: No. 1 Northwestern State 75, No. 8 Texas-San Antonio 61
Game 2: No. 4 Stephen F. Austin 72, No. 5 McNeese State 70
Game 3: No. 2 Sam Houston State 86, No. 7 Texas-Arlington 84, 2OT
Game 4: No. 6 Lamar 68, No. 3 Southeastern Louisiana 65

SEMIFINALS

Thursday, March 9
Game 5: No. 1 Northwestern State 80, No. 6 Lamar 66
Game 6: No. 2 Sam Houston State 78, No. 4 Stephen F. Austin 72

CHAMPIONSHIP

Sunday, March 12
Game 7: No. 1 Northwestern State 95, No. 2 Sam Houston State 87